Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 5.212030 5.936473 6.734629 7.680792 8.773816 9.999198 11.480365
2025-05-11 4.113052 5.023814 6.106144 7.492742 9.229930 11.344682 14.129773
2025-05-18 3.471513 4.461645 5.705373 7.393123 9.640197 12.551976 16.648036
2025-05-25 3.024065 4.049242 5.396061 7.311627 9.993024 13.652766 19.094121
2025-06-01 2.667047 3.697373 5.103558 7.185689 10.228977 14.574470 21.357086
2025-06-08 2.372273 3.390102 4.826469 7.030233 10.377438 15.353902 23.469343
2025-06-15 2.251977 3.313464 4.860511 7.317308 11.191315 17.183991 27.389597
2025-06-22 2.094450 3.162632 4.764805 7.388965 11.669024 18.532212 30.692337
2025-06-29 1.930648 2.984483 4.606864 7.340021 11.937982 19.559282 33.567660
2025-07-06 1.779716 2.811359 4.438315 7.251855 12.123809 20.454239 36.306168
2025-07-13 1.710494 2.761936 4.461212 7.479356 12.862740 22.367238 41.115045
2025-07-20 1.634103 2.693095 4.444169 7.633254 13.482639 24.128025 45.857899
2025-07-27 1.581578 2.661469 4.489348 7.905110 14.353359 26.463546 52.082202
2025-08-03 1.457253 2.495717 4.288514 7.712605 14.337005 27.117053 54.995842
2025-08-10 1.359435 2.368488 4.144489 7.609971 14.478499 28.087057 58.694586
2025-08-17 1.273741 2.256026 4.017317 7.525886 14.644516 29.118482 62.659638
2025-08-24 1.189678 2.139952 3.873858 7.395922 14.702112 29.927589 66.231900
2025-08-31 1.109203 2.024487 3.722330 7.235504 14.678525 30.557880 69.472326
2025-09-07 1.091604 2.026414 3.794117 7.531752 15.648570 33.451252 78.516072
2025-09-14 1.048711 1.976216 3.760255 7.605704 16.143203 35.339165 85.371931
2025-09-21 0.995200 1.901273 3.671498 7.555192 16.354945 36.600072 90.820329
2025-09-28 0.941470 1.822120 3.568319 7.464204 16.464656 37.631545 95.820328
2025-10-05 0.924096 1.815149 3.612068 7.698992 17.353792 40.642244 106.630103